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丹斯克银行:欧洲央行准备降息并重启QE

2019-06-18 23:10 欧洲央行

丹斯克银行研究部周二(6月18日)讨论了欧洲央行最近的利率政策变更。
主要观点
基于德拉基今日在辛特拉会议上的讲话以及另一位欧洲央行官员Benoit Coeure昨日在金融时报采访中的言论,我们改变了对欧洲央行的前景预期。我们现在预期欧洲央行将降息30个基点,引入一种分层系统,延伸前瞻指引,并重启量化宽松(QE)。
从欧洲央行的角度来看,关键的通胀预期以及经济衰退风险的更高可能将导致政策的改变。
我们预期欧洲央行将在7月份的决议中会打开近一步放宽政策的大门,在9月份随着新成员的加入宣布具体的举措。但如果市场和经济情绪受损,也可能更早宣布新的政策。
校对:十门

This article is published only for general use basic informatory purposes and should not be considered or depended on as a financial or investment advice. Investors should make sure that they understand the risks and seek independent financial advice at all times. CFDS ARE COMPLEX INSTRUMENTS AND COME WITH A HIGH RISK OF LOSING MONEY RAPIDLY DUE TO LEVERAGE.

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