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德意志银行:德拉基立场变化不足以摧毁欧元 FED降息空间更大

2019-06-19 06:30 汇市评论

德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)周二(6月18日)发布客户报告称,今日稍早欧洲央行行长德拉基讲话出现变化,这反映出欧洲央行政策立场已经较6月会议时显著改变。
德意志银行分析师表示:“这会对欧元产生重大影响吗?我们认为不会。考虑到美联储近期降息概率持续攀升,我们认为欧元/美元走势保持看多。尽管如此,我们怀疑即使欧洲央行更趋宽松,这也不足以推动欧元走低。因为欧洲央行的宽松决定必然会伴随着美联储降息出现,同时美联储的降息空间更加大,因此这为欧元提供了底部支撑。”
该行分析师补充道:“从根本上说,欧洲央行已经没有了大幅宽松的可能性,因此任何鸽派行动都只是小幅的,这也是我们为什么不相信欧元/美元有可能明确跌破1.10关口,我们对今年底欧元/美元的汇价预期维持在1.13附近不变。”
北京时间06:23,欧元/美元报1.1195。

This article is published only for general use basic informatory purposes and should not be considered or depended on as a financial or investment advice. Investors should make sure that they understand the risks and seek independent financial advice at all times. CFDS ARE COMPLEX INSTRUMENTS AND COME WITH A HIGH RISK OF LOSING MONEY RAPIDLY DUE TO LEVERAGE.

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