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黄金避险属性又“失宠” 市场高度聚焦美联储

2019-06-19 17:30 黄金

周三(6月19日)欧洲时段,黄金价格延伸了前一时段从1350美元上方的回撤,持续下跌。最近与贸易相关的乐观情绪削弱了黄金的避险天堂属性。美元/美债收益率的温和上扬也增添了黄金的抛售倾向。今日市场高度聚焦美联储利率决议,等候其所带来的交易动能。
黄金从周二美国总统特朗普发表对贸易相关的乐观言论开始丧失积极动能。在此之前,欧洲央行主席德拉基的鸽派言论提升了投资者对于风险资产的兴趣。股票市场强劲反弹,黄金的避险天堂属性反而相对黯然。
风险情绪的回升还伴随着十年期美国国债收益率由2017年9月份以来最低水平的反弹,进而提振了美元,对以美元计价的黄金近一步施压。
目前贸易积极进展是影响黄金价格的最关键因素,空头大多忽略了对于美联储降息“押注”的增加,但这一因素无疑将为无固定利息的黄金提供一定的支撑,并限制它的跌势。
因此,周三的绝对焦点将保持在最新的美联储货币政策会议上。目前市场预期美联储此次将按兵不动,但可能打开未来数月内降息的大门,这将帮助确定黄金近期内的涨势。
黄金关注技术位
根据FXstreet的技术分析,现货黄金需要关注的关键技术水平如下:
SMA20:1314.57
SMA50:1296.13
SMA100:1302.11
SMA200:1270.23
昨日高位:1354.4
昨日低位:1333
上周高位:1358.2
上周低位:1319.99
上月高位:1306.9
上月低位:1266.35
斐波那契38.2%:1346.23
斐波那契61.8%:1341.17
日内枢轴点S1:1334.93
日内枢轴点S2:1323.27
日内枢轴点S3:1313.53
日内枢轴点R1:1356.33
日内枢轴点R2:1366.07
日内枢轴点R3:1377.73
北京时间17:21,现货黄金报1342.30美元/盎司。
 
 

This article is published only for general use basic informatory purposes and should not be considered or depended on as a financial or investment advice. Investors should make sure that they understand the risks and seek independent financial advice at all times. CFDS ARE COMPLEX INSTRUMENTS AND COME WITH A HIGH RISK OF LOSING MONEY RAPIDLY DUE TO LEVERAGE.

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