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法国兴业银行:美联储降息概率急升 ‘反美元’黄金火力全开

2019-06-20 23:15 黄金

法国兴业银行(SocGen)周四(6月20日)发布研究报告称,美联储的鸽派倾向已经成为投资者买入黄金的强力推动。
法国兴业银行分析师表示:“本周的美联储政策会议并无新意。不过他们再次释放了足够的降息信号。目前市场相信美联储7月降息已经板上钉钉,从会议前的82%上升至100%。而从现在至今年圣诞节前三次降息的概率更是高达70%,这远高于会议前的47%。美联储依然认为通胀保持健康,同时经济增长也整体稳固。不过这已经为买入公债、股市以及其他货币打开大门。”
该行分析师补充道:“整体而言,考虑到市场资金现在已经流入其他主要货币,这也为买入黄金提供助力。黄金价格与美国实际收益率的负相关性要高于美元指数。虽然近年来美元相比其他G10货币表现强劲,同时美国也有更多的利率缓冲,但美国总统特朗普时希望看到美元走弱,同时美联储目前看来也在帮忙。因此作为‘反美元’资产的黄金自然火力全开。”

This article is published only for general use basic informatory purposes and should not be considered or depended on as a financial or investment advice. Investors should make sure that they understand the risks and seek independent financial advice at all times. CFDS ARE COMPLEX INSTRUMENTS AND COME WITH A HIGH RISK OF LOSING MONEY RAPIDLY DUE TO LEVERAGE.

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