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花旗:除非下行风险实质性增大 否则仍相信2019年内不会降息

2019-06-21 05:15 汇市评论

花旗(Citi)周四(6月20日)撰文称,虽然市场普遍认为7月降息,但若经济下行风险得不到实质性加大,该行依然相信2019年内不会降息。
花旗分析师表示:“花旗分析师认为市场对于美联储6月政策决议做出了鸽派解读。虽然美联储7月降息已经摆上台面,但我们的基础情境分析依然认为‘2019年不会降息’。这和大部分美联储官员预期一致。如果经济下行风险最终影响美联储前景预期,我们也认为7月存在降息50个基点以及提前结束缩表的可能。”
该行分析师补充道:“随着进入首个降息周期,美元可能迎来一至两个月的跌势。由于目前空仓较轻,因此如果趋势得不到改变,美联储加快步伐的化,美元依然有足够的下跌空间。”
校对:夏洛特

This article is published only for general use basic informatory purposes and should not be considered or depended on as a financial or investment advice. Investors should make sure that they understand the risks and seek independent financial advice at all times. CFDS ARE COMPLEX INSTRUMENTS AND COME WITH A HIGH RISK OF LOSING MONEY RAPIDLY DUE TO LEVERAGE.

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