CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the High risk of losing your money.

大多头来了!知名投行:黄金未来12个月有望冲破1500大关

2019-06-21 15:25 黄金

周五(6月21日)黄金再度上演疯狂行情,金价一度大涨逾20美元至1410上方,刷新2013年8月来的最高水平。
值此之际,澳新银行(ANZ)分析师指出,在宏观经济前景恶化之际,黄金受益于其避险地位,预计金价将稳定在1400美元/盎司上方,未来12个月有合理的理由突破1500美元/盎司。
文章主要内容如下:
宏观背景正在恶化,金价将保持弹性。随着美联储结束加息周期,并发出降息信号,形势将在下半年甚至更长时间内转向支持黄金。
在经济增长放缓之际,美联储可能降息,这将限制美元的上行空间,并降低持有黄金等非收益率资产的机会成本。
此外,新的贸易紧张局势已开始影响企业信心,这将对企业盈利产生负面影响。在这样的背景下,股市的波动性可能会回升,而相关性较低的黄金可以被视为一种完美的风险分散剂,以限制投资组合的损失。
随着矿业供应增长放缓和实物黄金需求的改善,供需基本面也开始起支撑作用。央行购买正成为需求的主要来源;这可能会占总供给的10-13%。
我们认为,黄金的关键风险在于能否达成贸易协定,这将大大降低全球经济面临的风险,并降低各国央行的利率。然而,这并非基本假设,在可预见的未来,全球贸易紧张局势可能仍将持续。
校对:冷静

This article is published only for general use basic informatory purposes and should not be considered or depended on as a financial or investment advice. Investors should make sure that they understand the risks and seek independent financial advice at all times. CFDS ARE COMPLEX INSTRUMENTS AND COME WITH A HIGH RISK OF LOSING MONEY RAPIDLY DUE TO LEVERAGE.

Economic news

    Exchange Rates

    GBPUSD -0.10% 1.31285
    EURUSD -0.11% 1.18398
    XAUUSD -0.60% 1913.09
    XTIUSD -0.54% 39.812
    NAS100 -0.52% 11624.8
    US30 -0.65% 28036.4