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丹斯克银行:稳固经济 央行们已经整装待发

2019-06-21 23:50 欧洲央行

丹斯克银行分析师周五(6月21日)表明,欧洲央行和美联储本周已经发出了清晰的信号,他们已经准备好行动,以图巩固经济增长和通胀。
主要观点
欧洲央行行长德拉基首先让市场为很快到来的政策改变作出准备。在辛特拉的欧洲央行会议上,他发表了非常鸽派的言论,“在未来几周里,欧洲央行委员会将认真考虑如何使用我们的工具应对价格稳定性剧烈波动的风险。”
令人失望的经济增长和通胀数据大幅削减了市场对通胀的预期,这一转变的背后凸显了中美贸易战的风险。我们已经变更了我们的预测,现在预期欧洲央行将降息20个基点,引入利率分级系统,延长前瞻指引,重启量化宽松(QE)。这可能在9月份发生。
周三,美联储也加入了鸽派阵营。最重要的是,美联储移除了此前“耐心”的措辞,而是声称:“委员会将密切关注未来经济前景的信息,并将在不确定性上升的情况下对可持续的扩张采取适当的行动。”因此我们预期美联储会在7月份降息,今年下半年共降息75个基点。

This article is published only for general use basic informatory purposes and should not be considered or depended on as a financial or investment advice. Investors should make sure that they understand the risks and seek independent financial advice at all times. CFDS ARE COMPLEX INSTRUMENTS AND COME WITH A HIGH RISK OF LOSING MONEY RAPIDLY DUE TO LEVERAGE.

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