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美元败落欧元狂起剑指1.14 多头还将爆发大涨400点 短线存回撤风险

2019-06-24 20:00 欧元

周一(06月24日)报道,由于市场加大押注美联储7月会议降息快于9月,美元指数日内疲弱,逼近96整数关口,欧元/美元则因欧洲央行已经处于负利率中,没有更多弹药施展侥幸获得一份释怀,多头日内延续6月19日的反弹走势,日线突破了200日SMA,逼近1.14关口,与美元形成鲜明对比。
(欧元/美元日线,来源:FX168财经网)
汇价在过去一周中已经攀升近1.5%,分析网站Poundsterlinglive对本周欧元5个交易日的走势预测中认为,在多头最终攀升前有回撤的风险。
4小时图上显示,价格在过去一周的上半周中表现下滑,但在周三于此前下行通道的顶部位置寻得支撑,自此以后价格在下半周表现反弹至更高位。
需要提醒的是,虽然多头本月已经屡次刷新高位,但多头也进入极度超买状态,RSI指标很好的企稳于70上方,暗示价格进入超买等待修正,由此认为多头存在回落至1.1350的风险,之后进入盘整区域。
然而最终,仍预期短线上行趋势将继续,多头将升破1.1378高位,并进一步确定价格后市升向1.1450和3月高点的目标。
日线图上,多头上周收于200日SMA均线上方,释放看涨信号,一旦价格升破了1.1450将进一步在中期内确定升向1.15关口目标位的走势。
最后关注周线图,价格升破了3周主要趋势线的阻力位,暗示价格将升向更高位,由此预期在这一新的长线趋势中,汇价将震荡上行上探1.18关口。
(欧元/美元周线,来源:FX168财经网)
北京时间19:51,欧元/美元报1.1398
校对:星晴

This article is published only for general use basic informatory purposes and should not be considered or depended on as a financial or investment advice. Investors should make sure that they understand the risks and seek independent financial advice at all times. CFDS ARE COMPLEX INSTRUMENTS AND COME WITH A HIGH RISK OF LOSING MONEY RAPIDLY DUE TO LEVERAGE.

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